Derivative Strategies - Stock Market Tips, Newsletters, Technical Analysis

 

 

DERIVATIVE STRATEGIES

30th JANUARY,2012
FROM 4900 TO 5135, AND THEN FROM 5135 TO 5225. WE HAVE BEEN PROJECTING THESES TARGETS AND ARE GLAD TO NOTE THAT THE SAME HAVE BEEN ACHIEVED.
MARKETS ARE SURELY OVERSTRETCHED ,BUT WHAT IS WORTH NOTING IS VOLATILITY. IT STILL REMAINS LOW INDICATING NO FEAR .
CRR CUT, DOVISH POLICY STATEMENTS, FED SIGNALING TO HOLD INTEREST RATES @ CURRENT LEVELS....ALL THIS MAY BE HELPING MARKET SENTIMENTS.
JUST AS WHEN MARKET WAS COMING DOWN MANY WELL WISHERS WERE STRONGLY SUGGESTING TO BUY ON DIPS AMID DETERIORATING MACRO SCENARIO, NOW MANY WELL WISHERS  ARE AGAIN BUSY WARNING AND SUGGESTING TO BOOK PROFIT OR EVEN SHORT ON RALLIES. TYPICALLY AS THEY SAY, BULL MARKETS CLIMB ON WALL OF WORRIES.
TILL MARKETS ARE HOLDING ABOVE 4950 BUYING MAY BE INITIATED ON EVERY STEEP DIP DUE TO WHATEVER REASON.
KEY SUPPORT LEVELS ARE 5130, 5070, 5010,4950.
TARGETS MAY BE 5250, 5295, 5320, 5340, 5390.
 
TODAY, INTRADAY BUY NIFTY FUTURE NEAR 5199/5192, STOP SUB 5170, TARGETS 5229,5245,5253,5279.
INTRADAY SUPPORTS ARE 5192, 5182, 5170/5129.
IT STOCKS, REL INFRA, SESA GOA, SAIL, STER LOOK BULLISH
RANBAXY, JINDAL STEEL, BHEL APPEAR BEARISH.
TAKE CARE.
27th JANUARY,2012
MARKET DIRECTION CONTINUES TO BE UP.
ABOVE 5182 UPTREND INTACT. SUPPORT AT 5166.
NIFTY HAS PENDING TARGET AT 5195,5216/5223.
 INTRADAY TRADES:
NIFTY FUTURE(5181.55): BUY NIFTY FUTURE NEAR  5166/5155, STOP LOSS 5130,TARGETS 5182,5195, 5208,5220.PLZ NOTE ONCE NF CROSSES 5197, TRAIL IT WITH STOP 5193. AVOID SHORTING TILL AT LEAST 5133 IS NOT BREACHED AND SUSTAINS FOR 5 MINUTES.
IF SUSTAINS BELOW 5120 SLIDE MAY SEE LEVELS SUCH AS 5075,5055.
AXIS BANK SPOT(1064) BUY BETWEEN 1056/1047, STOP LOSS 1030.90, TARGETS 1080,1095. IF SUSTAINS ABOVE 1095 THEN NEXT TARGET MAY BE 1135 WHICH IS 200 DMA.
GAIL SPOT(366.15) SHORT BELOW 367, STOP LOSS 371, TARGETS 364, 362, 355.
REL INFRA(513.80)BUY  NEAR 497/491, STOP LOSS 486.70,TARGETS ,TARGETS 511, 527. 200 DMA IS PLACED AT 529/537 WHICH MAY INVITE CONSOLIDATION.
 
.IN OUR LAST NEWSLETTER DATED 25TH ,RIL AND SBI BUY DID NOT TRIGGER.
BUY TRIGGERED IN REL INFRA AT 481, STOP 475, IT EXCEEDED TARGETS BY HITTING 518 HIGH. LOW WAS 476.2.
 
25th JANUARY,2012
MARKET HAS CROSSED 5135.
AS PROMISED I AM HERE.
NOW INTRADAY EXPECT A DIP WHICH IDEALLY SHOULD BE ARRESTED @ OR ABOVE 5090.
ABOVE 5142 NF MAY RESUME ITS UPTREND WHICH HAS TARGETS 5195,5216/5223.
5070/5050/5034 ARE ALL GOOD SUPPORTS.
BUY ON DIPS NEAR SUPPORTS.
EXPECT 5223 ON THE UPSIDE AND KEEP CLOSE WATCH ON 5034.
FOR THIS WEEK 4970 IS LAST HOPE.
here are a few quick views about nifty stocks:
RIL SPOT(784)BUY BETWEEN 777/773, STOPLOSS 763,TARGET 784,791,794.
REL INFRA SPOT(479): BUY ABOVE 481 IF SUSTAINS FOR 5 MINUTES, STOPLOSS 475, TGT 488, 494.
SBIN SPOT(2041)BUY ON DIP NEAR 2010, STOP 2004, TARGET 2025,2041,2075.
 
 
TAKE CARE.
23RD JANUARY,2012
NIFTY FUTURE WATCH:
ONCE AGAIN, MARKET HAS OBLIGED US BY ACTING EXACTLY AS SCRIPTED IN OUR NEWSLETTER DATED 16TH JAN,2012.
DID YOU SEE THE MAGIC OF INDIA VIX. (IT WAS SAID IN THE NEWSLETTER LAST WEEK THAT "AS LONG AS INDIA VIX IS BELOW 25 NO WORRY FOR BULLS. ABOVE 27 BULLS WILL HAVE TO WORRY").YOU MAY KINDLY CHECK INDIA VIX DID NOT GO BEYOND 24.97 AND CLOSED AT 22.
MARKET DIRECTION WAS PROJECTED WITHOUT ANY IF AND BUT LEADING TO 4984. 5025/5050 ZONE WAS INDICATED AS HURDLE ZONE. HIGH ACTUALLY MADE WAS 5065.
I SINCERELY HOPE OUR ESTEEMED READERS COULD MAKE MONEY LAST WEEK.
NOW WHAT NEXT.
LAXMAN REKHA IS 5135 ON THE UPSIDE AND 4778 ON THE DOWN SIDE. CLOSE BELOW 4778 OR CLOSE ABOVE 5135 MAY SET THE TONE OF NEXT MOVE.
BIAS +VE TILL 4778 HOLDS.
I WILL GET BACK IF AND WHEN ANY OF THE THRESHOLD IS CROSSED OR BREACHED.
 
16TH JANUARY,2012
NIFTY FUTURE WATCH:
AS HAS BEEN SAID IN OUR EARLIER NL DATED 11TH JAN, 20102,NF HITS 4915/4925 ZONE.
SUPPORT ZONE 4845 & 4820/4812 HELD.
THOSE WHO BOUGHT ON DIP MUST HAVE BENEFITED.
NOW WHAT??
here is a cue...AS LONG AS INDIA VIX IS BELOW 25 NO WORRY FOR BULLS. ABOVE 27 BULLS WILL HAVE TO WORRY.
NIFTY HAS FORMED ANOTHER WEEKLY BULLISH CANDLE. ON THE DAILY CHART IT FORMED A DOJI ON FRIDAY MEANING CONFUSION. LAST HOURLY CHART WITNESSED DIVERGENCE SIGNALING A BRIEF CORRECTION. OPEN INTEREST IS INCREASING WITH INCREASE IN PREMIUM CUMULATIVELY.  LOOKING AT OTHER PARAMETERS ONE WOULD DO WELL TO BUY ON SUCH A DIP AT OPENING  NEAR THE SUPPORT.
NIFTY FUTURE INITIAL SUPPORT IS @ 4860/4849.
NEXT CRITICAL SUPPORT IS @ 4816/4798.
RESISTANCE MAY BE ENCOUNTERED @4920,4947,4955,4964,4984.
IT IS QUITE LIKELY THAT ABOVE RESISTANCES BE CROSSED BUT MAIN HURDLE MAY BE WITNESSED @ OR BEFORE  5025/5050.
LAXMAN REKHA IS 5135 ON THE UPSIDE AND 4778 ON THE DOWN SIDE. CLOSE BELOW 4778 OR CLOSE ABOVE 5135 MAY SET THE TONE OF NEXT MOVE.
BIAS +VE TILL 4778 HOLDS.
I WILL GET BACK IF AND WHEN ANY OF THE THRESHOLD IS CROSSED OR BREACHED.
TAKE CARE.
OUR BEST WISHES AND WARM REGARDS.
 DERIVATIVE STRATEGIES
 
11TH JANUARY,2012
NIFTY CROSSES 4800 IN STYLE.
NOW WHAT?
NEXT TARGET IS 4915/4925 AND THEN SURGE TO 4943/4953.
STRONG SUPPORT AT 4845 AND THEN 4820/4812.
SHOULD NF BREAK 4812 THEN WATCH 4782/4778 FOR SUPPORT.
LOOK FOR BUYING ON PANIC DIP, YOU WILL MAKE MONEY.
BREAK OF 4778 MAY CHANGE SENTIMENT.
TAKE CARE.
OUR BEST WISHES AND WARM REGARDS.
 DERIVATIVE STRATEGIES
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